2014 — 2023年老年恶性肿瘤疾病谱变化与共病特征多中心研究

Changes in disease spectrum and comorbidity characteristics of malignant tumors in the elderly from 2014 to 2023: A multicenter study

  • 摘要: 背景 恶性肿瘤是威胁老年人健康的主要疾病之一,但国内外针对老年人群整体疾病谱的研究较少。目的 分析 老年(≥60岁)恶性肿瘤住院患者的疾病谱构成及共病特点,为优化老年肿瘤防治策略提供依据。方法 收集2014年1月至 2023年12月解放军总医院所属8家三甲医院老年恶性肿瘤住院患者的病案首页数据,通过国际疾病分类(ICD-10)编码统计 主要诊断,分析疾病谱构成、性别差异、地域分布及共病特征。结果 共纳入230,243例患者,消化器官(43.1%)和呼吸系 统恶性肿瘤(22.6%)占比最高,呈现显著性别差异(消化系肿瘤性别比3.2∶1 ~ 3.8∶1)。70 ~ 80岁为高发年龄段,淋巴/造血 系统肿瘤病死率最高(3.8%)。十年趋势分析显示前列腺癌顺位上升显著(第13→7位)。地域分布显示东北(25.56%)和中南地 区(22.69%)肝和肝内胆管癌占比均超全国水平(16.3%),华北地区支气管和肺恶性肿瘤居首(21.74%)。费用-死亡率分析揭示 乳房恶性肿瘤存在显著正相关(r=0.39,P<0.05)。共病负担随年龄急剧加重,80岁以上患者中70%存在≥5种共病,其中 30%达8种以上。结论 老年恶性肿瘤以消化和呼吸系统为主,其性别、年龄及地域存在差异,多重共病现象突出。不同 地区需针对高危疾病加强筛查,优化高费用-死亡率病种的诊疗路径,并建立多学科共病管理模式。

     

    Abstract: Background Malignant tumors are one of the major diseases threatening the health of the elderly, and there is relatively little research on the overall disease spectrum of the elderly population both domestically and internationally. Objective  To analyze the disease spectrum and comorbidities of hospitalized elderly patients (≥60 years) with malignant tumors, offering insights for optimizing cancer prevention and treatment strategies in this population. Methods The medical record homepage data of elderly (≥60 years) malignant tumor inpatients were collected from 8 tertiary Grade-A hospitals affiliated to Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to December 2023. Primary diagnoses were statistically analyzed using International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes to examine the disease spectrum composition, gender differences, regional distribution, and comorbidity characteristics. Results  A total of 230 243 patients were included. Malignant tumors of the digestive organs (43.1%) and respiratory system (22.6%) accounted for the highest proportions, showing significant gender differences (sex ratio for digestive system tumors ranged from 3.2:1 to 3.8:1). The age group of 70 - 80 years had the highest incidence, and lymphatic/hematopoietic system tumors had the highest fatality rate (3.8%). A decade-long trend analysis revealed a significant rise in the ranking of prostate cancer (from 13th to 7th). Regional distribution showed that the proportions of liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancers in the Northeast (25.56%) and Central-South regions (22.69%) both exceeded the national average (16.3%), while bronchus and lung malignancies ranked first in the North China region (21.74%). Cost-mortality analysis indicated a significant positive correlation between breast malignancies and mortality (r=0.39, P<0.05). The comorbidity burden increased sharply with age—among patients aged 80 years and older, 70% had five or more comorbidities, and 30% had eight or more. Conclusion Malignant tumors in the elderly are predominantly those of the digestive and respiratory systems, with variations in terms of gender, age, and region, and the phenomenon of multiple comorbidities is prominent. Different regions need to strengthen screening for high-risk diseases, optimize the diagnosis and treatment pathways for diseases with cost-mortality rates, and establish a multidisciplinary comorbidity management model.

     

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