社区老年人群肌少症对健康结局的影响—基于CHARLS 数据的纵向研究

Impact of sarcopenia on health outcomes among community-dwelling older adults: A longitudinal study using CHARLS data

  • 摘要: 背景 肌少症是老年人肌肉量、力量及功能进行性减退的综合征,可增加跌倒、骨折及死亡风险。中国社区老年人群肌少症患病率较高,但关于其与长期不良结局的前瞻性队列证据仍不充分。目的 探讨社区老年人肌少症严重程度与跌倒、髋部骨折、住院及死亡等不良结局的长期关联。方法 基于中国健康与养老追踪调查(China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study,CHARLS)5 轮调查数据。结局变量包括跌倒、髋部骨折、住院及死亡,随访至2020 年。采用Cox 比例风险模型分析肌少症严重程度与各不良结局的关联,并以死亡为竞争风险事件行Fine-Gray 竞争风险模型分析,采用分层分析检验效应一致性。校正年龄、性别、居住地、文化程度、婚姻状况、吸烟、饮酒、体质指数及慢性病患病数量等混杂因素。结果 共纳入5 429 例研究对象。根据亚洲肌少症工作组2019 共识将研究人群分为无肌少症组(3 110 例,57.29%)、可能肌少症组(625 例,11.51%)和肌少症组(1 694 例,31.20%)。随访9 年期间,可能肌少症组与肌少症组跌倒风险均显著高于无肌少症组,校正后HR分别为1.28(95% CI:1.14 ~ 1.44)和1.13(95% CI:1.03 ~ 1.24)。肌少症组髋部骨折风险呈临界升高(HR=1.27,95% CI:1.00 ~ 1.62,P=0.054),可能肌少症组未显示显著关联。可能肌少症组住院风险显著升高(HR=1.20,95% CI:1.06 ~ 1.35),死亡风险升高最为显著(HR=1.69,95%CI:1.31 ~ 2.18),肌少症组死亡风险未达统计学意义。竞争风险分析显示全因死亡对跌倒、髋部骨折及住院均产生显著竞争影响(Gray 检验,P均<0.001),可能肌少症组跌倒(校正后HR=1.16,95% CI:1.03 ~ 1.30,P=0.011)及再入院(校正后HR=1.15,95% CI:1.03 ~ 1.29,P=0.016)风险均显著高于无肌少症组,可能肌少症组跌倒累积发生率为50.3%,肌少症组髋部骨折累积发生率为8.1%。亚组分析未见显著交互作用。结论 社区老年人群中,可能肌少症是跌倒和再入院风险最高的阶段,表明肌少症前期是预防跌倒和再入院的关键窗口期。建议将可能肌少症筛查纳入老年人体检规范,前移干预关口,以降低老年人群疾病负担。

     

    Abstract: Background Sarcopenia, defined as the progressive loss of muscle mass, strength, and function in the elderly, elevates the risk of falls, fractures, and death. Despite its high prevalence in the Chinese community-dwelling older adults, there is a lack of robust prospective cohort evidence linking sarcopenia to long-term adverse outcomes. Objective To investigate the longitudinal association between the severity of sarcopenia and adverse outcomes including falls, hip fractures, hospitalization, and mortality in community-dwelling older adults.Methods Data were derived from five waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Outcome variables included falls, hip fractures, hospitalization, and mortality, with follow-up through 2020. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the association between sarcopenia severity and each adverse outcome, and Fine-Gray competing risk models were performed with death as the competing event. Stratified analyses were conducted to test the consistency of effects. Covariates included age, sex, residence, educational level, marital status, smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index, and number of chronic diseases.Results A total of 5 429 participants were enrolled in this study. Based on the 2019 criteria of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS), the study population was categorized into a non-sarcopenia group (3 110 cases, 57.29%), a possible sarcopenia group (625 cases, 11.51%), and a sarcopenia group (1 694 cases, 31.20%). During 9 years of follow-up, the risk of falls was significantly higher in both the possible sarcopenia group and the sarcopenia group compared with the non-sarcopenia group, with adjusted HRs of 1.28 (95% CI: 1.14 - 1.44) and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.03 - 1.24), respectively. The risk of hip fracture in the sarcopenia group showed a borderline elevation (HR=1.27, 95% CI: 1.00 - 1.62, P=0.054), while no significant association was observed in the possible sarcopenia group. The possible sarcopenia group had a significantly increased risk of hospitalization (HR=1.20, 95% CI: 1.06 - 1.35) and the most pronounced elevation in mortality risk (HR=1.69, 95% CI: 1.31 - 2.18), whereas the mortality risk in the sarcopenia group did not reach statistical significance. Competing risk analysis showed that all-cause death exerted significant competitive effects on falls, hip fractures, and hospitalization (Gray's test, all P<0.001). The possible sarcopenia group had significantly higher risks of falls (adjusted HR=1.16, 95% CI: 1.03 - 1.30, P=0.011) and readmission (adjusted HR=1.15, 95% CI: 1.03 - 1.29, P=0.016) than the no sarcopenia group, with a cumulative incidence of falls of 50.3% in the possible sarcopenia group and a cumulative incidence of hip fractures of 8.1% in the sarcopenia group. Subgroup analyses revealed no significant interactions. Conclusion In community-dwelling older adults, possible sarcopenia represents the stage with the highest risk of falls and hospital readmission, indicating that the prefrail stage of sarcopenia is a critical window for preventing falls and readmission. It is recommended that screening for possible sarcopenia be incorporated into routine health examinations for older adults, shifting the intervention window earlier to reduce the disease burden in the aging population.

     

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