无创评分对代谢相关脂肪性肝病患者肝硬化现患状态的关联分析

Association of non-invasive scores with liver cirrhosis status in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

  • 摘要: 背景 代谢相关脂肪性肝病(metabolic-associated fatty liver disease,MAFLD)是全球范围内高发的慢性肝脏疾病,肝硬化作为其严重进展结局,严重威胁患者健康。无创评分指标因其便捷性在临床广泛应用,但未见对 MAFLD 患者肝硬化风险评估中的价值及慢性乙型肝炎病毒(hepatitis B virus,HBV)感染的评估。目的 探讨APRI、FIB-4 等无创指标与MAFLD患者肝硬化现患状态的关联性,明确相关关联因素及慢性HBV感染的修饰作用。方法 筛选2023 年1 月— 2024 年7 月在中国人民解放军总医院第五医学中心收治诊断为脂肪肝的患者。收集患者一般资料、实验室指标及影像学参数,采用单因素和多因素logistic 回归分析筛选肝硬化病患的独立相关因素,通过分层分析探讨慢性HBV感染的效应修饰作用,并利用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线比较APRI 与FIB-4 的诊断效能。结果 回顾性纳入1 265例经腹部影像学诊断为脂肪肝的患者,排除信息不完整及不符合MAFLD诊断标准者,最终纳入435 例MAFLD患者(无肝硬化269 例、有肝硬化166 例)。其中男性261 例(60%),女性174 例(40%),平均年龄49.5 岁。有肝硬化组与无肝硬化组在性别比例、年龄、慢性HBV感染比例、血小板(platelet,PLT)水平及肝纤维化相关指标(FIB-4、APRI、LSM)上存在显著差异(P<0.05)。多因素logistic 回归显示,年龄≥60 岁(OR=3.216,P=0.001)、慢性HBV感染(OR=2.450,P=0.000)、男性(OR=2.397,P=0.001)及LSM≥12.0 kPa(OR=9.183,P<0.001)是肝硬化现患的独立相关因素;APRI 与肝硬化无显著关联(P>0.05),UAP与肝硬化无显著关联(P>0.05)。ROC曲线分析显示,总体人群中FIB-4 诊断曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)高于APRI(0.735 vs 0.658,P<0.001);无HBV感染亚组中FIB-4 的AUC显著优于APRI 的(0.855 vs 0.740,P<0.001),而合并HBV感染亚组两者效能均下降且无显著差异(P=0.061)。结论 年龄≥60 岁、男性、慢性HBV感染及高LSM值是MAFLD患者肝硬化现患的关键独立危险因素。FIB-4 对MAFLD患者肝硬化的诊断效能优于APRI,且慢性HBV感染状态显著影响其诊断价值,无HBV感染时FIB-4 的风险识别效能更优,可作为临床无创评估MAFLD患者肝硬化风险的优选指标。

     

    Abstract: Background Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a highly prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide. Liver cirrhosis, as its severe progressive outcome, poses a serious threat to patients' health. Non-invasive scoring indicators such as aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) are widely used in clinical practice due to their convenience. However, their value in evaluating the risk of cirrhosis in MAFLD patients and the impact of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection remain unclear. Objective To explore the correlation between non-invasive indicators including APRI and FIB-4 and the prevalence of cirrhosis in MAFLD patients, clarify the related risk factors and the modifying effect of chronic HBV infection, so as to provide evidence for the accurate clinical assessment of cirrhosis risk. Methods Patients diagnosed with fatty liver who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2023 to July 2024 were screened. General clinical data, laboratory indicators, and imaging parameters of the patients were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent factors associated with the prevalent status of liver cirrhosis. Stratified analysis was conducted to explore the effect modification of chronic HBV infection. Additionally, the diagnostic efficacy of APRI and FIB-4 was compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results A total of 1 265 patients diagnosed with fatty liver via abdominal imaging were retrospectively enrolled. After excluding patients with incomplete data and those who did not meet the diagnostic criteria for MAFLD, 435 MAFLD patients were finally included in the study, among whom 269 cases were non-cirrhotic and 166 cases were cirrhotic. The study cohort consisted of 261 males (60%) and 174 females (40%), with a mean age of 49.5 years. Significant differences were observed between the cirrhotic group and the non-cirrhotic group in terms of gender ratio, age, proportion of chronic HBV infection, platelet (PLT) levels, and liver fibrosis-related indicators (FIB-4, APRI, liver stiffness measurement LSM) (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that age ≥ 60 years (OR=3.216, P=0.001), chronic HBV infection (OR=2.450, P=0.000), male (OR=2.397, P=0.001), and LSM ≥ 12.0 kPa (OR=9.183, P<0.001) were independent factors associated with prevalent cirrhosis. No significant correlation was identified between APRI and cirrhosis (P>0.05), nor between UAP and cirrhosis (P>0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that in the total population, the area under the curve (AUC) of FIB-4 for diagnosing cirrhosis was 0.735, which was significantly higher than that of APRI (0.658, P<0.001). In the subgroup without HBV infection, the AUC of FIB-4 was remarkably superior to that of APRI (0.855 vs 0.740, P<0.001). However, in the subgroup with HBV co-infection, the diagnostic efficacy of both indicators was decreased, and no significant difference was found between them (P=0.061). Conclusion Age ≥ 60 years, male, chronic HBV infection, and high LSM value are key independent risk factors for the prevalence of cirrhosis in MAFLD patients. FIB-4 has better diagnostic efficacy for cirrhosis in MAFLD patients than APRI, and the status of chronic HBV infection significantly affects its diagnostic value. In the absence of HBV infection, FIB-4 has a better risk identification efficacy and can be used as the preferred indicator for the non-invasive clinical assessment of cirrhosis risk in MAFLD patients.

     

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