中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值动态变化、预后营养指数及炎症-营养评分对PD-1抑制剂治疗晚期非小细胞肺癌预后的评估价值研究

Prognostic value of dynamic changes in ΔNLR and PNI, and combined inflammationnutrition score in advanced NSCLC patients treated with PD-1 inhibitors

  • 摘要: 背景 在晚期非小细胞肺癌(non-small cell lung cancer,NSCLC)免疫治疗中,PD-1/PD-L1(programmed cell death protein 1/programmed death-ligand 1)抑制剂疗效差异明显,尚无有效方法预测疗效。目的 分析接受PD-1 抑制剂治疗的晚期非小细胞肺癌患者中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值变化率(ΔNLR)、预后营养指数(PNI)及炎症-营养联合评分(INS)与预后的关系。方法 回顾性分析2020 年1 月至2024 年12 月在山东第二医科大学附属医院接受抗PD-L1 单抗单药或联合治疗的晚期NSCLC患者的临床资料。治疗前及完成2 个治疗周期后检测外周血NLR及血清白蛋白,计算ΔNLR和PNI,并据此分组:ΔNLR≥20%为升高组,PNI<45 为营养不良组;ΔNLR≥20%、PNI<45 为INS高风险组。采用Kaplan-Meier 法比较各组无进展生存期(progression-free survival,PFS)和总生存期(overall survival,OS),Cox回归分析独立预后因素,并据以构建预后预测模型,以ROC 曲线法分析其预测效能。结果 163 例晚期NSCLC 患者纳入本次分析,男性100 例(61.35%),女性63 例(38.65%);中位年龄61(范围:54 ~ 68)岁,中位OS为16.4 月。NLR升高组较非升高组中位PFS显著缩短(6.5 个月vs 8.6 个月,P=0.041);PNI<45 组PFS 较PNI≥45 组更短(6.9 个月vs 8.9 个月,P=0.048);INS 高风险组PFS 亦较非高风险组下降(6.0 个月vs 8.4 个月,P=0.047)。多因素Cox 回归分析显示NLR升高幅度≥20%和PNI<45 者PFS 更短,而PD-L1 表达≥50%者PFS 更长(P<0.05)。ROC分析显示,基于回归风险概率模型构建的模型1 和模型2,对晚期NSCLC患者预后具有较高的预测效能,AUC(95%CI)分别为0.852(0.753 ~ 0.937)、0.843(0.698 ~ 0.978)。结论 治疗早期ΔNLR升高及PNI 降低与NSCLC患者接受PD-L1 抑制剂治疗的较差预后显著相关,INS 可作为综合炎症与营养状态的分层指标,为免疫治疗疗效及预后的评估提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Background In advanced non-small cell lung cancer, the efficacy of PD-1/PD-L1 (Programmed Cell Death Protein 1/Programmed Death-Ligand 1) inhibitors varies considerably, and early prognostic predictors remain unclear. Objective To evaluate the prognostic significance of early changes in the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (ΔNLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and their combination as the inflammation-nutrition score (INS) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving PD-1 inhibitor therapy. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with advanced NSCLC who received anti-PD-L1 monoclonal antibody monotherapy or combination therapy at Shandong Second Medical University Affiliated Hospital from January 2020 to December 2024. Peripheral blood NLR and serum albumin levels were measured before treatment and after completing two treatment cycles. ΔNLR and PNI were calculated and used to group the patients: ΔNLR ≥ 20% as the elevated group, PNI < 45 as the low-nutrition group, and ΔNLR ≥ 20% combined with PNI < 45 as the high INS risk group. Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) among the groups, and Cox regression was applied to identify independent prognostic factors. A prognostic prediction model was then constructed, and the prediction performance was evaluated using ROC curve analysis. Results A total of 163 patients with advanced NSCLC were included in this analysis, comprising 100 males (61.35%) and 63 females (38.65%). The age range was 54 to 68 years, with a median age of 61 years. The median OS was 16.4 months. Survival analysis showed that the PFS of elevated NLR group was significantly shorter than that of the non-elevated group (6.5 months vs 8.6 months, HR=1.55, 95% CI: 1.07 - 2.26, P=0.041). Low PNI predicted poorer PFS (6.9 months vs 8.9 months, HR=1.52, 95% CI: 1.04 - 2.21, P=0.048). The INS high-risk group also showed reduced PFS compared with non-high-risk patients (6.0 months vs 8.4 months, P=0.047). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that an increase in ΔNLR ≥ 20% and PNI < 45 were both adverse prognostic factors for PFS, while PD-L1 expression (≥50%) was a favorable prognostic factor (P<0.05). ROC analysis indicated that Models 1 and 2, constructed based on regression risk probabilities, demonstrated high predictive performance for the prognosis of advanced NSCLC patients, with AUC values of 0.852 (95% CI: 0.753 - 0.937) and 0.843 (95% CI: 0.698 - 0.978), respectively. Conclusion Early elevation of ΔNLR and reduction of PNI are strongly linked to poor prognosis in advanced NSCLC patients treated with PD-1 inhibitors. INS, integrating inflammatory and nutritional status, may serve as a practical tool for risk stratification and prognosis prediction in immunotherapy.

     

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