2014 — 2024年系统性红斑狼疮患者感染的时间趋势与临床特征分析

Temporal trends and clinical characteristics of infections in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus from 2014 to 2024

  • 摘要:
    背景 各种病原体感染是系统性红斑狼疮(systemic lupus erythematosus,SLE)患者死亡的主要原因,但关于SLE患者感染的长期流行趋势、季节性模式、空间分布特征尚不明确。
    目的 分析SLE患者队列感染的流行病学特征,评估感染的时空分布规律,并比较发生感染与未发生感染患者的临床特征差异。
    方法 回顾性收集2014年1月至2024年8月于解放军总医院就诊SLE患者的信息。根据是否发生感染,将患者分为感染组和非感染组。采用卡方检验、局部加权回归平滑(locally estimated scatterplot smoothing,LOESS)曲线等统计学方法评估感染率的年度趋势、季节性分布,比较感染组与非感染组在的临床特征。
    结果 共纳入5 839例患者,男性758例(13.0%),女性5 081例(87.0%),中位年龄为37(IQR:27 ~ 50)岁。在5 839例患者中1 851例(31.7%)发生了感染,感染组与未感染患者相比表现出更高的疾病活动度、更频繁的关键脏器受累、更严重的炎症反应以及更强的免疫抑制治疗背景(P均<0.05)。时间维度上,感染率在2014 — 2024年呈现显著的持续下降趋势(P<0.001);感染存在显著的季节性特征,表现为冬季高发(35.6%,P=0.004),夏季最低(29.3%,P=0.034);与2019年12月前相比,2020年1月— 2022年12月和2023年1月及以后的总感染率显著下降(44.5% vs 24.3%和22.0%,P<0.001)。
    结论 2014 — 2024年,SLE患者的感染负担呈现显著下降趋势,且存在明显的冬季高发性。感染患者表现出更为严重的疾病活动及免疫紊乱状态,这些发现为临床针对SLE患者制定季节性监测策略及识别高危人群特征提供了重要依据。

     

    Abstract:
    Background Infection by various pathogens is a leading cause of mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). However, the long-term epidemiological trends, seasonal patterns, and clinical characteristics of infections in SLE patients remain unclear and warrant further investigation.
    Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of infections in SLE cohort, evaluate their spatiotemporal distribution patterns, and compare the clinical features between patients with and without infections.
    Methods This retrospective study collected data from patients with SLE who attended Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to August 2024. Patients were classified into infection group and non-infection group according to whether infection occurred. Chi-square tests, locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS) curves, and other statistical methods were used to assess annual trends and seasonal patterns in infection rates and to compare differences across periods. Clinical features were compared between the patients with and without infections.
    Results A total of 5 839 patients were included, including 758 men (13.0%) and 5 081 women (87.0%), with a median age of 37 (IQR: 27 - 50) years. Among them, 1 851 patients (31.7%) developed infection. Compared with non-infection patients, those with infection had higher disease activity score, more frequent major organs involvement, more severe inflammatory responses, and more immunosuppressive therapy (all P < 0.05). The infection rate showed significant and sustained downward trend from 2014 to 2024 (P < 0.001). Infection also showed a significant seasonal pattern, with the highest rate in winter (35.6%, P=0.004) and the lowest in summer (29.3%, P=0.034). Relative to the period prior to December 2019, the total incidence rate declined significantly in the periods spanning January 2020 to December 2022 and from January 2023 onwards (44.5% vs 24.3% and 22.0%, respectively; P < 0.001).
    Conclusion From 2014 to 2024, the infection burden in patients with SLE showed significant downward trend, with clear winter predominance. Patients with infection exhibit more severe disease activity and greater immune dysregulation. These findings provide important evidence for developing season-specific surveillance strategies and identifying high-risk clinical profiles in patients with SLE.

     

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