血清DKK3单独及联合临床指标诊断高龄男性肌少症的价值评估

Evaluation of diagnostic performance of serum DKK3 alone and combined with clinical indicators for sarcopenia in very elderly male patients

  • 摘要: 背景 肌少症诊断依赖2019 年亚洲肌少症工作组标准,但设备限制和住院场景操作困难,亟需更简便的血清标志物。分泌型肌肉萎缩相关特异性糖蛋白(Dickkopf-3,DKK3)作为潜在靶点,在高龄男性住院患者中的诊断价值和增量贡献尚不明确。目的 评估血清DKK3 单独及联合临床指标对高龄男性住院患者肌少症的诊断价值。方法 采用病例对照研究设计,选取2022 年9 月至2023 年10 月于解放军总医院老年病房住院的高龄(≥80 岁)男性患者为研究对象。以2019 年亚洲肌少症工作组标准为金标准,收集临床资料并检测血清DKK3 浓度。绘制受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线评估DKK3 单独及联合临床模型的诊断效能,采用Delong 检验比较曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC),以净重分类改善指数(net reclassification improvement index,NRI)评估增量诊断价值。结果 共纳入293 例患者,肌少症患病率为53.24%(156/293)。肌少症组血清DKK3 中位水平为1 126.00(569.60,1 414.00) pg/mL,非肌少症组为1 225.00(761.90,1 552.00) pg/mL,组间差异无统计学意义(P=0.083)。DKK3 单独诊断AUC 为0.559(95% CI:0.493 ~ 0.625),最佳截断值为1 058.7 pg/mL,灵敏度53.8%、特异度59.1%。临床模型握力+身体质量指数(body mass index,BMI)+年龄+卧床时间AUC为0.860(95% CI:0.817 ~ 0.903);联合模型(+DKK3)AUC为0.861(95% CI:0.818 ~ 0.904)。Delong 检验显示两模型AUC差异无统计学意义(P=0.659),NRI 为0.092 5。结论 血清DKK3 在高龄男性住院患者中单独诊断肌少症效能有限,在握力及BMI基础上未提供有统计学意义的增量诊断价值。握力与BMI组合的临床模型简便有效,适合基层推广。

     

    Abstract: Background The diagnosis of sarcopenia relies on the 2019 Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia criteria; however, equipment limitations and operational difficulties in the inpatient setting underscore the urgent need for simpler serum biomarkers. As a potential target, the diagnostic value and incremental contribution of Dickkopf-3 (DKK3) in older male hospitalized patients remain unclear. Objective To evaluate the diagnostic value of serum DKK3 alone and in combination with clinical indicators for sarcopenia in very elderly male inpatients. Methods A case-control study was conducted among very elderly (≥80 years) male patients hospitalized in the Geriatric Ward of PLA General Hospital from September 2022 to October 2023. The 2019 Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia criteria were used as the diagnostic gold standard. Clinical data were collected and serum DKK3 concentrations were measured. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of DKK3 alone and in combination with a clinical model (grip strength + BMI + age + bed rest duration). The Delong test was used to compare the area under the curve (AUC), and the net reclassification improvement index (NRI) was calculated to assess the incremental diagnostic value. Results A total of 293 patients were enrolled, with a sarcopenia prevalence of 53.24% (156/293). The median serum DKK3 level in the sarcopenia group was 1 126.00 (569.60, 1 414.00) pg/mL, compared to 1 225.00 (761.90, 1 552.00) pg/mL in the non-sarcopenia group, with no statistically significant difference between the two groups (P=0.083). The AUC of DKK3 alone for diagnosing sarcopenia was 0.559 (95% CI: 0.493 - 0.625), with an optimal cut-off value of 1 058.7 pg/mL, yielding a sensitivity of 53.8% and a specificity of 59.1%. The clinical model (Grip strength, body mass index BMI, age, and bedridden time) achieved an AUC of 0.860 (95% CI: 0.817 - 0.903), while the combined model (+DKK3) achieved an AUC of 0.861 (95% CI: 0.818 - 0.904). The Delong test showed no statistically significant difference in AUC between the two models (P=0.659), and the NRI was 0.092 5. Conclusion Serum DKK3 alone has limited diagnostic efficacy for sarcopenia in very elderly male inpatients and does not provide statistically significant incremental diagnostic value beyond grip strength and BMI. The clinical model combining grip strength and BMI is simple, effective, and suitable for promotion in primary care settings.

     

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