APACHEⅡ评分对劳力性热射病患者预后判断的价值
APACHEⅡscore in predicting prognosis of patients with exertional heat stroke
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摘要: 目的 探讨急性生理与慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ评分)对于劳力性热射病(exertional heat stroke,EHS)患者预后判断的价值。 方法 回顾性收集10所部队医院收治劳力性热射病患者54例,其中存活43例,死亡11例。收集所有患者入院后24 h内各项指标的最差值根据APACHEⅡ评分量表进行评分,并运用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)分析APACHEⅡ评分对劳力性热射病患者预后判断的价值。 结果 54例劳力性热射病患者APACHEⅡ评分239(19.70±10.63)分,死亡组评分比存活组高(30.82±5.50 vs 16.86±9.73,P<0.001)。APACHEⅡ评分对于死亡预测的ROC曲线下面积为0.890±0.044,APACHEⅡ评分最佳诊断截点为25.5分,其敏感性为90.91%、特异性为83.72%。 结论 APACHEⅡ评分可以用于预测劳力性热射病患者的严重程度和预后,但个别评分较低的患者仍应引起重视。Abstract: Objective To study the APACHEⅡscore in predicting the prognosis of patients with exertional heat stroke(EHS). Methods Fifty-four EHS patients(43 survived and 11 died) admitted to 10 Chinese PLA hospitals were included in this study. Their poorest indications within 24 h after admission were scored according to the APACHEⅡscoring scale and APACHEⅡscores in predicting the prognosis of EHS patients were analyzed according to their ROC curves. Results The APACHE II score was 2-39(19.70±10.63) for the 54 EHS patients. The score was significantly higher for the survived patients than for the died patients(30.82±5.50 vs 16.86±9.73, P <0.001). The APECHEⅡscore was 0.890±0.044 in predicting the death of EHS patients according to the area under the ROC curve and the optimal APECHEⅡscore was 25.5 in making the diagnosis of EHS with a sensitivity of 90.91% and a specificity of 83.72%. Conclusion APECHEⅡscore can predict the severity and prognosis of EHS patients. However, attention should be paid to those with a low APECHE Ⅱ score.