直肠癌根治术后外周血C-反应蛋白/白蛋白比值与C-反应蛋白对早期并发症的预测价值比较

Predictive value of postoperative peripheral blood C-reactive protein/albumin ratio versus C-reactive protein for early postoperative complications following radical rectectomy for rectal cancer

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨直肠癌根治术后患者外周血C-反应蛋白/白蛋白比值(C-reactive protein/albumin ratio,CAR)对直肠癌根治术后早期并发症的预测价值,并与C-反应蛋白的预测价值进行比较。方法 回顾性分析2013年8月-2018年8月在解放军总医院第一医学中心普通外科行直肠癌根治术的284例患者的临床资料,采用多因素logistic回归确定直肠癌根治术后早期并发症的危险因素。绘制受试者工作特征(receiver-operating characteristic,ROC)曲线对CAR与CRP预测直肠癌根治术后早期并发症的准确性进行分析与评价,并对比两者的预测价值,计算出两者各自的临界值。CAR高于临界值的患者划入高CAR组,CAR低于临界值的患者划入低CAR组,对两组并发症发生率及术后中位住院时间进行比较。结果 入组患者中58例(20.4%)发生了术后早期并发症。单因素风险分析中直肠癌术后早期并发症与性别、术后CRP水平和术后CAR值的相关性有统计学意义(P均<0.05)。多因素风险分析显示,术后CAR值是术后早期并发症的独立预测因素OR(95% CI):9.451(2.560 ~ 34.892),P=0.001。ROC曲线分析结果显示,术后CAR对术后早期并发症的预测能力略高于CRP (AUC:0.781 vs 0.766,灵敏度:0.741 vs 0.672,特异性:0.726 vs 0.743,阳性预测值:0.410 vs 0.402,阴性预测值:0.916 vs 0.898),CAR的临界值为2.29,高CAR组(CAR≥2.29,n=105)较低CAR组(CAR<2.29,n=179)轻、重度并发症发生率均更高(轻度:26.7% vs 6.7%,P<0.001;重度:14.3% vs 1.7%,P<0.001),术后中位住院时间更长9(8,13) d vs 9(8,11) d,P=0.024。结论 术后CAR值是直肠癌根治术后早期并发症的独立预测因素,且较CRP对并发症的发生更有提示意义。

     

    Abstract: Objective To investigate the predictive value of postoperative peripheral blood C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) for short-term complications following radical rectectomy for rectal cancer,and compare the predictive value of CAR versus c-reactive protein. Methods Clinical data about 284 patients undergoing radical rectectomy in the first medical center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from August 2013 to August 2018 were retrospectively analyzed.Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify clinical factors predicting postoperative complications.The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate and compare the accuracy of CAR and CRP in predicting early complications,and their cut-off values were calculated.According to the cut-off value of CAR,patients were divided into high CAR group and low CAR group.The complication incidences as well as average postoperative hospital stays between the two groups were compared. Results Of all the patients,58 (20.4%) cases developed postoperative complications.In univariate analysis,the correlations between early postoperative complications after radical rectectomy and sex,postoperative CRP and postoperative CAR were statistically significant (all P<0.05).Multivariate analysis identified that postoperative CAR was an independent risk factor for early postoperative complications (OR95% CI:9.4512.560-34.892,P=0.001).ROC curve analysis showed that the performance of CAR in predicting early postoperative complication was slightly higher than that of postoperative CRP (AUC:0.781 vs 0.766;sensitivity:0.741 vs 0.672;specificity:0.726 vs 0.743;positive predictive value:0.410 vs 0.402;negative predictive value:0.916 vs 0.898).The optimal cut-off value of CAR was 2.29.Compared with the low CAR group (CAR<2.29,n=179),the high CAR group (CAR≥2.29,n=105) had a higher incidence of mild and severe complications (mild:26.7% vs 6.7%,P<0.001;severe:14.3% vs 1.7%,P<0.001) and a longer postoperative hospital stay (MdIQR:98,13 d vs 98,11 d,P=0.024). Conclusion Postoperative CAR is an independent predictor for short-term complications following radical rectectomy for rectal cancer,and it is more suggestive for the occurrence of complications than CRP alone.

     

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