同型半胱氨酸水平对女性心血管事件预测作用

Predictive value of homocysteine for major adverse cardiovascular events risk in female community population

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨同型半胱氨酸(HCY)水平对社区无症状女性人群主要不良心血管事件(major adverse cardiovascular events,MACE)的预测作用。方法 纳入2007年9月-2009年1月北京石景山区首钢社区参加健康调查的女性人群870例(平均年龄58.81岁),根据基线HCY四分位数水平将受试者分为4组:A组(<12.3μmol/L)212例,B组(12.3 ~ 15.2μmol/L)221例,C组(15.3 ~ 18.3μmol/L)218例,D组(≥18.4 μmol/L)219例。收集受试者临床基线资料,检测传统心血管危险因素及HCY、颈股脉搏波传导速度(carotid-femoral artery pulse wave velocity,cfPWV)等指标,进行平均4.8年的随访,记录MACE和全因死亡情况,评估HCY对主要不良心血管事件的预测作用。结果 D组年龄、收缩压(SBP)、尿酸、CFPWV明显高于A、B、C组,高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDL-C)、肾小球滤过率(eGFR)明显低于A、B、C组。随访期间,四组共23名(2.6%)受试者死亡,42名(4.8%)发生不良心血管事件。D组MACE发生率和全因死亡率明显高于A组(7.3% vs 1.4%,5.5% vs 0.5%,P<0.01)。在校正传统危险因素后,Cox回归分析显示,D组MACE和全因死亡风险均明显高于A组(P均<0.05)。HCY对MACE和全因死亡预测的ROC曲线下面积为0.615(95% CI:0.533 ~ 0.698)和0.695(95% CI:0.583 ~ 0.806)。结论 在社区无症状女性人群中,血HCY水平是不良心血管事件及全因死亡的独立预测指标。

     

    Abstract: Objective To investigate the predict value of homocysteine (HCY) for major adverse cardiovascular events risk among the community-dwelling female population. Methods This was a community-based prospective observational study.From September 2007 to January 2009,a total of 870 female subjects with average age of 58.81 years were recruited from a community-based population in Beijing.Participants were divided into group A (<12.3 μmol/L,n=212),group B (12.3-15.2μmol/L,n=221),group C (15.3-18.3μmol/L,n=218) and group D (≥18.4μmol/L,n=219) according to the baseline HCY level.Their baseline clinical data were recorded,indicators including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE),HCY and cfPWV were detected.Patients were followed-up for average of 4.8 years,and MACE and all-cause mortality were also recorded,and the predictive role of HCY for major cardiovascular events was evaluated. Results Compared with group A,B and C,the age in group D was significantly higher,the levels of SBP,uric acid,cfPWV were higher,while levels of HDL-C and eGFR were significantly lower (all P<0.05).During a average 4.8-year follow-up period,23 participants (2.6%) died,42 participants (4.8%) suffered MACE.The incidences of MACE and all-cause mortality were significantly higher in group D compared to group A (7.3% vs 1.4%,5.5% vs 0.5%,P<0.01,respectively).Cox regression analysis showed that the risks of MACE and all-cause mortality were significantly higher in group D than that in group A after adjusting for traditional risk factors (P<0.05).The area under the ROC curve for HCY in predicting MACE and all-cause mortality were 0.615 (95% CI:0.533-0.698) and 0.695 (95% CI:0.583-0.806),respectively. Conclusion The plasma HCY level is a potential and independent predictive factor for major adverse cardiovascular events risk in female community population.

     

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